Hello and good Sunday to you. Here are the links of the week.... 
 

Precious Metals Video Update
We published this video Thursday. Our latest public work. 
 

Mid Week Update
From Urban Carmel at the Fat-Pitch Blog. This post is a week old but there is plenty of great info and charts on the economy and markets. 
 

How Cheap Have Miners Become?
Check out this post & the chart which answers the question in terms of NAV. Not as cheap as during the GFC but cheaper than in 2000.    
 

2016 Outrageous Predictions 
This is a PDF file from Saxo Bank. 


Why One Advisor is Betting on Bonds not Stocks
Great charts in this post from Zero Hedge. 



Note: If you come across anything worthy of being included, feel free to send it my way!





Premium Snippets 



Chart 1 shows the bull analog for the US$. 

The past bulls are on the same scale as the current bull (black). While the US$ failed to break past 100 recently, its broader price action remains quite constructive. Furthermore, the bull analog chart argues it could have another leg to the upside. Of course there are only 2 other data points.

Keep the possibility of a big US$ breakout in 2016 in mind. If that comes to pass, history suggests it could be the final act of a bull market.
 

Chart 2 shows the longest bear markets in Gold in terms of time.  

The three other long bears lasted a bit longer than 5 years, which for the current bear market would be August 2016.



 



The gold stock bears analog (seen in the video in our first link) is at a true extreme while the above charts (and the Silver one I shared last week) suggest the bear market will continue into 2016. History is only one tool but it would argue the bear market likely ends in 2016 and the gold stocks should bottom first.

TDG #445 was a lighter update due to the holidays. We've bought some positions in recent days and weeks and are hoping to add another position. We have 7 positions currently and 6 are at a profit. Right now there is a small list of companies that to me really stand out. They are showing relative strength. Their fundamentals are reasonable to solid at $1100 Gold. They can survive two quarters of $1000 Gold. And they have clear catalysts for the first half of 2016.

My plan for 2016 is to hedge these positions when I think this rebound has run its course and the metals will be ripe for another leg lower. The following move would be to add to my positions when we hit technical support and major technical and sentiment extremes. Will it be in Q2 like some are predicting? Or maybe in Q3 like in 1976? I wish I knew. My sense is the big money will be made in 2017 and 2018 while 2016 will be the year to position for 2017-2018.

Stay tuned because we will also be updating our book in the weeks to come!


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