TheDailyGold: Gold Stocks Retreat at Resistance...

Published: Sun, 06/12/16

Newsletter
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Sunday June 11, 2016
 
   
 
 

Here are the links of the week....

 

Gold Stocks Retreat at Resistance
Penned Friday as miners reversed at resistance. 


Podcast: Dan Norcini Analyzes Gold, Silver & Commodities
Professional trader Dan Norcini covers quite a bit in this interview. You can follow him at traderdan.com. 


Video: Quality vs. Optionality Strategies
In this video we comment on each strategy/theme and what to look for with respect to finding investments in both themes.  

 

Macro & Credit: Road to Nowhere
Excellent post from the Macronomy Blog. A few comments on Gold are included but it covers mostly macro and credit. It's a long post, you won't be able to skim through it.


SoberLook: US Labor Markets Take a Turn for the Worst

Great post which includes a number of charts on the labor market. 


Gold & Keynesian Death Spiral
Another good post from Steve Saville. 






Premium Snippets 



Chart 1: HUI Bull Analog (Daily)

The HUI corrected 18% at exactly the same time as the 22% and 20% corrections in the other series. The 2008-2009 analog had a 20% decline at this point in time. The price action tells me that miners are likely to correct in the days ahead and perhaps consolidate for several weeks. That fits with the 2008-2009 analog. 








Chart 2: Gold vs. Foreign Currencies & Gold vs. Global Equities

In recent months Gold has been weak in real terms but is showing signs of promise again. The first chart plots Gold against the US$ index basket. The chart has formed somewhat of a W bottom. We will see if that holds up but it is a good sign to see the huge surge digested well. Last year the chart surged but by July it had fallen apart. 

Meanwhile, Gold/Global equities bounced near support. If it can takeout its April and May high then that is a very bullish sign. 






If we are correct and miners correct then those with cash should take advantage. If GDXJ tests the open after the employment report it would correct 12%-13%. I see the risk of a consolidation as more likely than a big correction here. In any event, buying weakness makes sense. 

In TDG #469, a 30 page update we updated a report on a junior producer that will become a mid-tier in a few years and provided extended commentary on 3 other stocks we own including one of our other favorite optionality plays (next to Sandspring). We also commented on a stock we own that has been on fire because it has made what could become a major, major discovery. We are hoping that stock corrects so we can buy more.

In the update we also discussed major resistance targets for GDX, HUI and Gold that could mark the start of the first real counter-trend move in this new bull. 


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