TheDailyGold: Oversold Bounce in Gold & Gold Stocks Takes Hold...

Published: Fri, 12/30/16

 
The Daily Gold
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT, MFTA
 
 

WEEKLY NEWSLETTER

Friday, December 30, 2016

 
 
Here are the actionable links of the week...
 

Surging US Dollar in 2017, a Catalyst for Gold Bottom

Published Wednesday. We provide a few analog charts and credit another author for his observation on Gold historically holding up well during the last half of a US$ Bull.

Video: Oversold Bounce Begins

Recorded and published Thursday evening. Our latest thoughts on Gold and Gold Stocks including upside targets and key resistance levels. 

How to Invest in the New World Order

The preceding piece in this series of articles discussed the dollar shortage, rising US$ and Gold to go below $1000, which they view as a great buying opportunity. This piece discusses some predictions for 2017. 

Gold Miners are Running out of Metal

From Bloomberg. Five Charts explain the title. This basically covers the reduction in future Gold production, lack of exploration and potential for M&A. Peak Gold (and the supply/demand argument) is bullish for junior gold companies with quality, high-margin potential deposits, not for Gold itself.




Premium Snippets...

 

We sent this email ahead of the holiday weekend rather than during it.

As 2017 beckons precious metals are in rally mode. We expected this, but weeks ago. In fact, we have been whipsawed in recent weeks. We expected Gold to rebound from the mid $1100s and when it dropped to $1120 we believed the rally was more likely to start from $1085-$1095 than from $1120. 

One question for 2017 will be if we see a wider divergence between Gold and the gold stocks. With the US$ looking technically strong and Gold technically broken (major resistance at +$1200), how well can the gold stocks perform? Can they hold the December low (from a week ago) even if Gold tests $1050 or $975-$1000?

This is something I will cover in this weekends premium update. 

Given my view on Gold and the general value and relative strength of the gold stocks since summer 2015, it is certainly possible the stocks could perform well in 2017 even with Gold flat to sideways for much of the year. However in the near term, miners could rally up to strong resistance (GDX $25) and drop at least 25%-30% if Gold drops to $1050 or lower. It's one possibility.  

The way around this potential conundrum is to buy weakness and value and focus on quality (projects & companies). In other words, optionality plays can be passed on and bought later. They aren't going to run away from here if Gold tests $1050 again or lower.

In a recent update we provided a watch list of 30 stocks amongst a variety of categories including but not limited to producers, explorers and nanocaps. From this list I am going to make a top takeover targets in 2017 list. I have 5 in mind that I'm going to share in this weekend's update.

That is all for this update. I wish you great prosperity and health in 2017.  



Consider subscribing to our premium service for less than $1/day.

Our service is tailored for precious metals investors who seek market timing and fundamental analysis of junior companies poised to outperform.


We seek to own the companies with the best fundamentals that have the best risk/reward potential. We want to own the leaders while avoiding laggards with limited potential. We also want to cut our losses. A 20% stop loss on a 5% position limits the loss to 1% of the portfolio.

We are the only credentialed technical analyst (CMT, MFTA) with a gold-stock focused service that utilizes a real model portfolio. We tell you what we are buying and selling. Hence, we are completely transparent.

And when you see the volume of our work and significant weekly updates you will realize that no one works harder than we do.

Our subscription cost amounts to less than $1/day!

There is so much fluff out there in this sector and much of it is way more expensive than what we provide.

Consider a subscription today as you will receive all of our recent company reports and updates within hours of your signup, as well as everything we produce for the next 6 months. You pay up front but get significant value up front (in a welcome email). Our goal is to help subscribers make money and be the best service in its category.

Click Here to Learn More


Jordan focuses nearly exclusively on the gold sector and in my opinion does a good job either being right, or getting right when adjustment is needed. He moves forward without hype, bias or ego.

Thanks for all your great work - charts and analysis is the best there is.

Your service is truly a gem among this industry. I've subscribed to several services over the past year and a half, and I wish I had landed on your site first.

I'm a new member - just want to say how much I appreciate your expert advice but mostly, your direct, honest and zero bullshit approach.
 

Click Here to Learn More

Weekly updates are sent on Saturdays while flash updates are sent when we make a trade. Reports are sent sporadically. Upon signup you receive all recent reports and updates. Unlike most other editors, we answer subscriber questions.

Thanks for reading. I wish you all great health and prosperity.

-Jordan

Disclaimer: This newsletter is intended for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized and individualized investment advice. Investment in the precious metals sector contains significant risks. You should consult with an investment advisor and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. This email may contain certain forward looking statements which are subject to risks, uncertainties and a multitude of factors that can cause results and outcomes to differ materially from those discussed herein.