TheDailyGold: Technicals for Gold Stocks Remain Weak...

Published: Wed, 03/29/17

 
The Daily Gold
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT, MFTA
 
 

WEEKLY NEWSLETTER

Wednesday, March 29, 2017

 
 
Here are the actionable links from last week...
 

Technicals for Gold Stocks Remain Weak

Penned Friday. The miners are lagging the metals and the breadth indicators are also quite weak. Its not encouraging. 

Precious Metals & 200-Day Moving Averages

We penned this the previous Sunday. It is a week old but relevant. If metals and miners have another push higher, focus on these resistance levels. 

The US$'s April Showers Can Bring Flowers to Gold

From Erik Swartz. I'm not bullish in the short-term but Erik is a great, proven analyst. 

March Fund Managers Asset Allocation

From the Fat-Pitch. This survey is always informative and actionable. 

David Erfle: Urban-Windfall Area Play

Kitco commentator David Erfle writes about one of the current, hottest mining districts. On another note, pay attention to the info regarding what Randgold is looking for in terms of acquisitions. David applies that criteria to the area play. That criteria is very helpful to us as speculators and investors. 



 

Premium Snippets...

 

Picture 1: TDG Junior Gold Index & GDXJ Weekly Candle

The median market cap of our index is currently ~US$ 450 Million. GDXJ's in terms of weighting in the index is likely around $1 Billion. 

Anyway, the recent action in GDXJ is definitely weak and the prognosis for juniors looks even worse in our own index. Twice in the past two weeks our index failed at resistance (700-725) and failed to close near the highs of the week. Note how the 700-725 levels were previously key support (in 2016). The index lost that four weeks ago and tried and failed to recapture it in each of the past two weeks.

If both indices tested the December lows (the lowest close), they would fall 21%-22% from here.  







Saturday evening we emailed subscribers a 32-page update in which we discussed one important positive development for the sector while noting the potential for a buying opportunity before summer. The Gold/Stock Market ratio could be emerging from a major double bottom which dates back almost 2 years. If that ratio shows strength into the summer then it will be a huge positive for the sector and perhaps restart the bull market. However, this is not necessarily immediately bullish for the sector and especially for the gold stocks. 

As we noted above, we see growing downside risk for the stocks but if we are right it could lead to a great buying opportunity before the summer. On page 4 of the update there is a table of some of our stocks with support levels and buy targets. This is actionable for subscribers and especially new subscribers, who can immediately learn our favorite companies and target buy prices.  

Dr. Jeffrey Kern, who we recently interviewed, had this to say regarding our stock-picking abilities:

I am simply a pure market-timer for a broad basket of gold stocks and precious metals. Jordan, on the other hand, has provided superior STOCK-PICKING abilities over the longer-term. I am familiar with most gold stock subscription services over the past 30 years. I rarely provide endorsements of any kind, but Jordan's ability to analyze individual gold/silver stocks has been among the top 5 services over the past decade. First and foremost, I respect his integrity.

 

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We seek to own the companies with the best fundamentals that have the best risk/reward potential. We want to own the leaders while avoiding laggards with limited potential. We also want to cut our losses. A 20% stop loss on a 5% position limits the loss to 1% of the portfolio.

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Weekly updates are sent on Saturdays while flash updates are sent when we make a trade. Reports are sent sporadically. Upon signup you receive all recent reports and updates. Unlike most other editors, we answer subscriber questions.

Thanks for reading. I wish you all great health and prosperity.

-Jordan

Disclaimer: This newsletter is intended for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized and individualized investment advice. Investment in the precious metals sector contains significant risks. You should consult with an investment advisor and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. This email may contain certain forward looking statements which are subject to risks, uncertainties and a multitude of factors that can cause results and outcomes to differ materially from those discussed herein.