TheDailyGold: A Look at Gold & Silver Sentiment...

Published: Sun, 07/16/17

 
The Daily Gold
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT, MFTA
 
 

WEEKLY NEWSLETTER

Sunday, July 16, 2017

 
 
Here are the actionable links from last week...
 

A Look at Gold & Silver Sentiment

Published Saturday. We look at Gold & Silver CoT's and Put-Call Ratios. Sentiment argues for a rebound but the technicals argue it won't last too long.

Video Update: Primary Trend Remains Down

Recorded and published late Thursday. We discuss why the primary trend is down. Content is somewhat similar to the editorial. 

Podcast: Larry McDonald Talks Gold & Macro

Larry is one of the most accomplished guests we've had on the podcast. You will definitely want to hear his take on precious metals. 

Macro & Credit: Bond Ruck

From the excellent Macronomy Blog. Great analysis on the credit markets and Fed policy. 

 

Calafia Beach Pundit: 16 Chart Review of the Outlook

Mostly economic charts in this post. I very much enjoy these types of posts because you can scroll through much data very quickly. 



 

Premium Snippets...


Chart 1: Silver Daily Line

We plot Silver's daily line chart along with its 50 and 200-day moving averages.

We have been short Silver via DSLV (3x short ETF) and it has worked very well albeit our position should have been larger. The thick red line is around $16.30. Look for Silver to rebound to $16.20-$16.30. The 50-dma is at $16.66 and declining. Throw in a few weeks of consolidation and Silver could come close to testing its 50-dma. That might be a time to short Silver again. 





 

Commentary:


We had thought precious metals would head lower before a sentiment-based rebound but we were wrong and after last Monday we put out a flash update notifying subscribers of the potential for a rebound in the sector. 

It will be interesting to see how long lasts considering the sharp reduction in the net speculative position in recent weeks. However, based on technical indicators the sector isn't that oversold and Gold's CoT is not below 10%. That could move back to 25% after a few weeks and in the context of a downtrend that could not be considered a low reading. 

On another note, in TDG #526 (a 26-page update sent late Saturday) we covered a company that simply put, because of its upside potential is something we can't afford not to own. Sure, we are bearish on the sector but this is something that has potential to rise over the next 6-9 months even in this market. The potential over 3-5 years could be off the charts. We will be buying an intro position this coming week.   

Consider a subscription today as we can help you avoid losses, sidestep trouble and get positioned in the juniors that have a chance to 5x-10x baggers over the next 2-3 years (like the one teased above). 

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I am simply a pure market-timer for a broad basket of gold stocks and precious metals. Jordan, on the other hand, has provided superior STOCK-PICKING abilities over the longer-term. I am familiar with most gold stock subscription services over the past 30 years. I rarely provide endorsements of any kind, but Jordan's ability to analyze individual gold/silver stocks has been among the top 5 services over the past decade. First and foremost, I respect his integrity.

-Dr. Jeff Kern, creator & developer of SkiGoldStocks Trading System
 

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Thanks for reading. I wish you all great health and prosperity.

-Jordan

Disclaimer: This newsletter is intended for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized and individualized investment advice. Investment in the precious metals sector contains significant risks. You should consult with an investment advisor and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. This email may contain certain forward looking statements which are subject to risks, uncertainties and a multitude of factors that can cause results and outcomes to differ materially from those discussed herein.