TheDailyGold: Here is What Gold is Waiting For...

Published: Sun, 03/04/18

 
The Daily Gold
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT, MFTA
 
 

WEEKLY NEWSLETTER

Sunday, March 4, 2018

 
 
 

Here are the links of the week....

 

Here is What Gold is Waiting For...

Published Monday. We discuss why Gold has not broken out yet but what its waiting for which will catalyze its breakout. 

Commentary on Discrepancy b/w Gold & Gold Stocks

Published Wednesday. More comments on the sector. 

Goldman Interviews Paul Tudor Jones

Great interview with PTJ. He comments on inflation, interest rates, the economy, Fed policy and commodities. Really fantastic. A must read!

 

Embarassing Ag Problem

From the Macro Tourist. Ag as in Agriculture not Silver. The Ag Commodities are starting to breakout. 




 

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Premium Snippets


Chart 1: GDXJ Chart w/ Breadth Indicators

Here is a chart of GDXJ with two breadth indicators from a basket of 50 stocks. We plot the percentage of those 50 stocks that closed above the 50-dma and 200-dma. 

After the low on Wednesday the figures were 19% and 26%. As you can see from the data, juniors are oversold but not yet extremely oversold. That would require a move lower in the sector coupled with a move lower in breadth indicators. However, it is possible breadth can show a positive divergence. (Another indicator we can look at is new 52-week lows). 



 

 

Commentary


Late Saturday evening, we published TDG #559, a 28-page update which covers our near-term posture with potential downside and upside levels for gold stocks and Gold. The update includes buy targets on our favorites, Q&A on a few stocks, the one company we own and want to buy more of and another company with potential to make a key discovery in its next drill program. 

Right now, Silver and the gold stocks are not too far from bottoms in price but the problem for the sector is Gold has more work to do. Its sentiment indicators (especially the CoT) need improvement. Gold tested the low $1300s last week before bouncing. We see it testing its 200-dma in the $1280s and perhaps going a bit lower. Whether that happens in a few weeks or a few months we don't know. 

There are a handful of good values out there right now and these could potentially turn into excellent values over the weeks ahead. We trimmed a highly successful position and sold a loser so our cash position is relatively high. We are on the lookout for more big winners!

Subscribe to our service and find out which juniors are great values and have massive potential over the next 12-18 months. (And we answer subscriber questions).  
 

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You nearly always read the trends and support and resistance extremely well. Please keep us posted if or when the outlook seems to change. which you always do of course. TDG is the most valuable resource for understanding what is possible to understand about the PMs.  
  

I appreciate your service and have some concept of the work that goes into it. Your stock picking is excellent.   


Thanks for being a good stock picker and an excellent chartist.


I have been a subscriber since late last year and just wanted to say thanks. You are the best analyst for gold stocks that I have found. (And I have been around for quite a while : ) )



"I am simply a pure market-timer for a broad basket of gold stocks and precious metals. Jordan, on the other hand, has provided superior STOCK-PICKING abilities over the longer-term. I am familiar with most gold stock subscription services over the past 30 years. I rarely provide endorsements of any kind, but Jordan's ability to analyze individual gold/silver stocks has been among the top 5 services over the past decade. First and foremost, I respect his integrity. - Dr. Jeffrey Kern, SkiGoldStocks.com



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Thanks for reading. I wish you all great health and prosperity in 2018!
 

-Jordan

 

Disclaimer: This newsletter is intended for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized and individualized investment advice. Investment in the precious metals sector contains significant risks. You should consult with an investment advisor and do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. This email may contain certain forward looking statements which are subject to risks, uncertainties and a multitude of factors that can cause results and outcomes to differ materially from those discussed herein. Novo Resources has contracted TheDailyGold.com for marketing purposes.